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史宗

史宗

史宗

1

For local governments , 'unless they get a political signal from Beijing , they're not going to stop' building new projects, Shih said .

史宗瀚说，地方政府除非接到北京方面的指示，否则不会停止上马新项目。

3

Mr. Shih reckons that ultimately one -quarter of these loans will go bad.

史宗瀚认为，最终将有四分之一的贷款成为不良贷款。

4

Accepting Mr. Shih's higher estimate of local debt pushes this figure to around 75%.

如果按史宗瀚高于官方数据的地方政府债务估算额计算，中国政府债务大约相当于中国 GDP 的 75%。

5

Doing that, Shih estimates, would make China 's debt-to-GDP ratio of around 20% in 2009, closer to 71%.

史宗瀚估计，由此一来中国的债务与 GDP 之比将从 2009年时的约 20%升至将近 71%；

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