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兹韦尔

网络William J.Zwiebel; MILAN ZVER; Chiswell

兹韦尔

兹韦尔

兹韦尔

William J.Zwiebel

（美）兹韦尔（William J.Zwiebel）著，郑宇，华扬等译/ 2005-05-01 / 中国医药科技出版社杨跃进　主编 / 2012-11-01 / 人民 …

MILAN ZVER

...奈兹﹒扬沙（JANEZ JANSA），副主席米兰﹒兹韦尔（MILAN ZVER），党员近20000人。

Chiswell

...用的是哪一种推销方法？（1）有经验的药品推销员奇兹韦尔（Chiswell）说：“有些顾客非要你把笔塞到他们手里才签字。

1

The kind of intelligence Kurzweil is talking about, which is called strong AI or artificial general intelligence, doesn't exist yet.

库兹韦尔所讨论的那种智慧 ——即强人工智能或人工通用智能现在还不存在。

2

Kurzweil blames the prevailing notion of a world going to hell in a hand basket on increased visibility .

对于世界正在以越来越明显的态势逐渐陷入恶化境地的流行观点，库兹韦尔也进行了批判。

3

4

He believes that this moment is not only inevitable but imminent .

库兹韦尔认为这一时刻的来临不仅不可避免，而且越来越迫近。

5

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But Kurzweil finds that life extension produces even more resistance in his audiences than his exponential growth curves .

但库兹韦尔发现，与理论的指数增长曲线相比，延寿在自己的理论受众那里遭遇了更多的阻力。

7

Even great inventions can fail if they arrive before their time , and he wanted to make sure that when he released his, the timing was right .

如果过于超前，即便是最伟大的发现也会遭到冷遇，于是库兹韦尔希望能在最恰当的时候公布自己的发明。

8

Ray Kurzweil, a respected computer scientist, serial inventor and futurist, predicted that some 55m robots would be in circulation by 2010 .

著名的计算机科学家，发明家和未来学家雷·卡兹韦尔（RayKurzweil ），预测到 2010年将有 5500万机器人在市场上流通。

9

As it turned out, Kurzweil's numbers looked a lot like Moore's. They doubled every couple of years .

结果证明，库兹韦尔的结论与摩尔定律极为相似，二者都是每两年翻一番。

10

The subsequent decade has seen a rise in the number of Kurzweil's critics and the volume of their complaints .

随后的十年间，针对库兹韦尔展开批判的评论者数量与日俱增，他们抱怨的声音亦不绝于耳。

11

If you can swallow that idea , and Kurzweil and a lot of other very smart people can , then all bets are off.

如果你能接受这种理念，库兹韦尔和其他的聪明人也能接受，然后就没什么悬念了，一切既成事实。

12

Bill Gates has called him "the best person I know at predicting the future of artificial intelligence . "

比尔·盖茨曾称赞库兹韦尔是 “我所知能够预测人工智能未来的最佳人选 ”。

13

"Kevin is thinking linearly , " he argues .

“凯文的思考方式过于线性化了，”库兹韦尔辩解说。

14

Kurzweil is 60 , takes 250 vitamins and other supplements a day , and believes some of them can turn back ageing.

库兹韦尔六十岁，不过他每天要吃二百五十片维生素和各类补品，并对他们中的一些人可以返老还童深信不疑。

17

According to Kurzweil's predictions , we will see computer systems as powerful as the human brain in 2020 .

按照库兹韦尔的预测，到 2020年我们将会看到计算机系统跟人类大脑一样强大。

18

But his goal differs slightly from de Grey's .

不过，库兹韦尔的目标与德格雷稍有不同。

19

Kurzweil hopes to bring his dead father back to life.

库兹韦尔甚至希望自己已经去世的父亲可以复活。

20

This is, Kurzweil believes, our destiny as a species .

库兹韦尔相信这就是人类作为一个种族的终极命运。

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